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A Down Payment on a Home is Not a Financial Cushion

(January 30th, 2008)

In an article by Marilyn Kennedy posted on the Chicago Tribune, the author quotes,

Kibler says he likes to see buyers put down at least 10 percent, because they will have a cushion should home prices dip. If you pay $300,000, for example, and need to move after a year, you'll only have to pay off a $270,000 mortgage balance. That gives you the freedom to sell for slightly under what you paid for the house and pay a real estate commission.

I do not want to argue against a famous New York city financial planner but contrary to his thoughts, the 10% down payment that people put down on their homes is NOT to be treated as a cushion if home prices dip. That 10% x $30,0000 = $30,000 should be considered a potential capital loss! Here's why:

i) If you sell your home for less than what you paid for it, you have a capital loss, irrespective of how much down payment you put on the house. Whether you financed with a $0 down or a $50k down, you will have to eventually absorb the loss. Two worst things could happen, you would lose all the precious $50k cash that you put down on the house, or you would have to absorb the loss by making payments on that $50k loan over several years of time (the normal mortgage amortization schedule).

Why would anyone want to purchase a home that could go down $30,000 in the next 1-2 years? People should wait it out! It's better to buy at the bottom of the real estate market crash, than to purchase in the middle and take losses. With the Federal Funds rate expected to be lowered up to 1% over the course of 2008, it makes sense to wait until mortgages rates are lower, and when the US economy begins to recover again.

The best way for home buyers to protect themselves from falling real estate prices is to limit their investments in it. This means you should not put down any more principal (down payment) on your home than you absolutely have to. Say you sell your home in 1 year from now for a $30,000 loss; two outcomes occur.

i) You would have paid that $30,000 a year ago for the initial down payment, leaving you with no cash in the bank.

ii) You would NOT have paid that $30,000 leaving you with that amount of money in the bank, which could have earned you a decent 3% - 4% interest accumulating to $30,000 x 4% = $1200

I'd rather take a gain of $1200 over a year than a full blown out loss of $30,000 in that year. What do you guys think? Post your comments & thoughts below.

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